Week Lecture Topics Reading R Code
1 Introduction to Time Series Decomposition, backshift operator, differencing, etc Download data
1 Covariance and Correlation Examining covariance and correlation
2 Univariate time series models Stationary and nonstationary models for univariate time series
2 Estimation and Forecasting Estimation procedures for fitting time series models
3 Univariate time series models Introduction to univariate state-space models MARSS Ref Sheet univariate_example_1.R univariate_example_2.R univariate_example_3.R univariate_example_4.R
3 Estimation and Forecasting Introduction to multivariate state-space models Chap 1 and 7 in MARSS User Guide MARSS_example_1.R MARSS_example_2.R MARSS_example_3.R MARSS_example_4.R MARSS_example_5.R
4 Covariates in SS models Including seasonality and covariates in models; dealing with missing covariates and colinearity
5 Intro to DLM Introduction to Dynamic Linear Modeling Chap 15 in MARSS User Guide
5 DLM Applications Examples of real-world applications of DLMs.
6 Exponential Smoothing Exponential smoothing models
6 Dynamic Factor Analysis Dynamic factor analysis Chap 9 in MARSS User Guide DFA_with_the_MARSS_pkg.R
7 GLMs 1 Review of generalized linear models
7 GLMs 2 Dealing with zeros and non-normal data
7 Bayesian estimation Bayesian estimation with STAN
8 Spatial correlation Spatiotemporal models Analyzing Snotel data.R
SNOTEL_metadata.csv
SNOTEL_Washington_1981_2013.csv
8 Estimating Interactions I Estimating species interaction strengths from ts data Ives et al 2003 Gompertz_example_0.R Gompertz_example_1.R Gompertz_example_2.R
9 Estimating Interactions II Estimating species interaction strengths from ts data Chap 13 in MARSS User Guide GompertzSS_REML.R
9 Intervention Effects Detecting intervention effects in ts data indicator_examples.R
9 Standardized Residuals Detecting perturbations in ts data Chap 11 in MARSS User Guide
10 [Road Map of MARSS models(Files/Table of MARSS models.pdf)